Historically, Dutch BEV gross sales present a spike within the final quarter of the yr. That is adopted by a trench within the first quarter. Gross sales of fossil gas automobiles observe the other pattern. Low gross sales within the final quarter adopted by excessive gross sales within the first quarter.
The present quarter being one of the best quarter (reasonably than the final quarter being one of the best) is definitely a sign of how effectively the market is rising. Totally electrical vehicles reached a market share of 25.5% over the quarter, properly divided into 15%, 25%, and 35% within the respective first three months of the yr.
Beforehand, the excessive market share of BEVs simply earlier than yr’s finish was partly made doable by the fossil gas market delaying deliveries till the brand new yr. When one is excessive and the opposite is low, you get a superb ratio. However within the first quarter, fossil gas car (FFV) gross sales had been very excessive, and nonetheless BEV market share was extraordinarily excessive.
When wanting traditionally, ignoring the COVID-19 years 2020 and 2021, we see progress of 119% in Q1 2019 versus Q1 2018, 44% in Q1 2022 vs. Q1 2019, and 103% in Q1 2023 vs. Q1 2022. Excessive progress percentages are tougher when market share is greater, making the Q1 2023 progress superior in my eyes.
By the best way, this was the primary Q1 in 5 years that FFV registrations grew. And it’s seemingly solely as a result of higher provide enabled carmakers to ship orders from their giant backlogs, not due to a rise in demand.
The yr 2018 was the final good yr for the fossil gas automotive market. After that yr, the decline began. Solely within the final quarter of 2022 and the primary quarter of this yr did FFV registrations get better a bit. Whereas absolutely the numbers for fossil gas automobiles had been rising for the primary time in 5 years in Q1, the market share of BEVs rose from 15.8% in Q1 2022 to 25.5% in Q1 2023. If anyone considers this quarter a win for the FFV portion of the market, it was a Pyrrhic victory.
Listed below are some good graphs for instance what is occurring available in the market:
made by Maarten
” data-image-caption=”
Dutch FFV vs. BEV gross sales per 30 days, and month-to-month common for trailing twelve months.
” data-medium-file=”https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-FFV-vs-BEV-sales-per-month-and-Trailing-Twelve-Months-400×223.png” data-large-file=”https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-FFV-vs-BEV-sales-per-month-and-Trailing-Twelve-Months-800×445.png” decoding=”async” loading=”lazy” class=”wp-image-292337 size-full” src=”https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-FFV-vs-BEV-sales-per-month-and-Trailing-Twelve-Months.png” alt=”Dutch FFV vs BEV gross sales per 30 days and Trailing Twelve Months” width=”4032″ top=”2243″ srcset=”https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-FFV-vs-BEV-sales-per-month-and-Trailing-Twelve-Months.png 4032w, https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-FFV-vs-BEV-sales-per-month-and-Trailing-Twelve-Months-400×223.png 400w, https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-FFV-vs-BEV-sales-per-month-and-Trailing-Twelve-Months-800×445.png 800w, https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-FFV-vs-BEV-sales-per-month-and-Trailing-Twelve-Months-768×427.png 768w, https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-FFV-vs-BEV-sales-per-month-and-Trailing-Twelve-Months-1536×854.png 1536w, https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-FFV-vs-BEV-sales-per-month-and-Trailing-Twelve-Months-2048×1139.png 2048w” sizes=”(max-width: 4032px) 100vw, 4032px”>
Dutch FFV vs. BEV gross sales per 30 days, and month-to-month common for trailing 12 months.
made by Maarten
” data-image-caption=”
Dutch BEV gross sales per 30 days 2018-202303
” data-medium-file=”https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-BEV-sales-per-month-2018-202303-400×217.png” data-large-file=”https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-BEV-sales-per-month-2018-202303-800×435.png” decoding=”async” loading=”lazy” class=”wp-image-292338 size-full” src=”https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-BEV-sales-per-month-2018-202303.png” alt=”Dutch BEV gross sales per 30 days 2018-202303″ width=”2700″ top=”1468″ srcset=”https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-BEV-sales-per-month-2018-202303.png 2700w, https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-BEV-sales-per-month-2018-202303-400×217.png 400w, https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-BEV-sales-per-month-2018-202303-800×435.png 800w, https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-BEV-sales-per-month-2018-202303-768×418.png 768w, https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-BEV-sales-per-month-2018-202303-1536×835.png 1536w, https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-BEV-sales-per-month-2018-202303-2048×1114.png 2048w” sizes=”(max-width: 2700px) 100vw, 2700px”>
Dutch BEV gross sales per 30 days 2018–2023
And now the numbers
The variety of BEVs registered in Q1 was 25,101 (4,974 + 6,892 + 13,225), for 25.5% market share (15% in January, 25% in February, 35% in March). FFV registrations had been 73,324 (27,871 + 21,236 + 24,217), giving a complete of 98,425 car registrations (32,845 + 28,128 + 37,452).
Taking a look at one of the best promoting fashions, there are 42 fashions that reached over 100 car registrations every. For these of you curious about the fashions that didn’t make my reduce, the supply of my numbers is right here.
made by Maarten
” data-image-caption=”
Dutch Q1 2023 BEV gross sales by mannequin
” data-medium-file=”https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-Q1-2023-BEV-sales-by-model-157×400.png” data-large-file=”https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-Q1-2023-BEV-sales-by-model-314×800.png” decoding=”async” loading=”lazy” class=”wp-image-292341 size-full” src=”https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-Q1-2023-BEV-sales-by-model.png” alt=”Dutch Q1 2023 BEV gross sales by mannequin” width=”853″ top=”2170″ srcset=”https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-Q1-2023-BEV-sales-by-model.png 853w, https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-Q1-2023-BEV-sales-by-model-157×400.png 157w, https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-Q1-2023-BEV-sales-by-model-314×800.png 314w, https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-Q1-2023-BEV-sales-by-model-768×1954.png 768w, https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-Q1-2023-BEV-sales-by-model-604×1536.png 604w, https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-Q1-2023-BEV-sales-by-model-805×2048.png 805w” sizes=”(max-width: 853px) 100vw, 853px”>
Dutch Q1 2023 BEV gross sales by mannequin.
made by Maarten
” data-image-caption=”
Dutch Q1 2023 BEV gross sales by model
” data-medium-file=”https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-Q1-2023-BEV-sales-by-brand-400×304.png” data-large-file=”https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-Q1-2023-BEV-sales-by-brand.png” decoding=”async” loading=”lazy” class=”wp-image-292340 size-full” src=”https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-Q1-2023-BEV-sales-by-brand.png” alt=”Dutch Q1 2023 BEV gross sales by model” width=”741″ top=”564″ srcset=”https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-Q1-2023-BEV-sales-by-brand.png 741w, https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-Q1-2023-BEV-sales-by-brand-400×304.png 400w” sizes=”(max-width: 741px) 100vw, 741px”>
Dutch Q1 2023 BEV gross sales by model.
made by Maarten
” data-image-caption=”
Dutch Q1 2023 BEV gross sales by auto teams
” data-medium-file=”https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-Q1-2023-BEV-sales-by-auto-groups-400×306.png” data-large-file=”https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-Q1-2023-BEV-sales-by-auto-groups.png” decoding=”async” loading=”lazy” class=”wp-image-292342 size-full” src=”https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-Q1-2023-BEV-sales-by-auto-groups.png” alt=”Dutch Q1 2023 BEV gross sales by auto teams” width=”738″ top=”565″ srcset=”https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-Q1-2023-BEV-sales-by-auto-groups.png 738w, https://cleantechnica.com/recordsdata/2023/04/Dutch-Q1-2023-BEV-sales-by-auto-groups-400×306.png 400w” sizes=”(max-width: 738px) 100vw, 738px”>
Dutch Q1 2023 BEV gross sales by auto group.
The very first thing that caches the attention is the return of Tesla on the prime of the record. In December 2022, the Mannequin Y appeared out of nowhere and never solely took the #1 place within the final month of the yr, however with such a large margin that it additionally turned #1 for the entire final quarter. Now Tesla is the #1 automotive group! It’s even beating Stellantis and Volkswagen Group, the 2 conglomerates that usually determine who’s #1 and #2. What’s most distinctive in regards to the Tesla Mannequin Y: it was #1 in all three months, not simply within the final month of the quarter, as was beforehand at all times the case.
I not too long ago reviewed the fashions in second and third place (the Volvo C40, the coupe model of the XC40), and the remaining within the prime 10 is at the very least practically two years outdated. There are clearly no thrilling new fashions from effectively established manufacturers, and the fashions from unknown manufacturers — like BYD, NIO, Cupra, and even MG — want extra time to achieve a wider public.
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